Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.173748 0.204832 0.239581 0.281269 0.329883 0.384750 0.451336
2025-09-14 0.127290 0.167205 0.216561 0.281914 0.366014 0.470429 0.609743
2025-09-21 0.099220 0.141347 0.197506 0.277520 0.388233 0.535623 0.746302
2025-09-28 0.081330 0.123913 0.184317 0.275717 0.409904 0.598963 0.884695
2025-10-05 0.072455 0.116959 0.183541 0.289601 0.453354 0.695406 1.078830
2025-10-12 0.066321 0.112737 0.185556 0.306973 0.502986 0.805240 1.304221
2025-10-19 0.059495 0.106107 0.182521 0.315425 0.538965 0.897297 1.511631
2025-10-26 0.052438 0.097857 0.175467 0.315903 0.561359 0.969317 1.693753
2025-11-02 0.044999 0.087717 0.163671 0.306424 0.565237 1.010451 1.827856
2025-11-09 0.038064 0.077391 0.150046 0.291666 0.557597 1.030344 1.926334
2025-11-16 0.034097 0.072081 0.144781 0.291328 0.575528 1.096196 2.112105
2025-11-23 0.029754 0.065358 0.135911 0.282882 0.577017 1.131922 2.245649
2025-11-30 0.026984 0.061683 0.132962 0.286581 0.604170 1.221676 2.497519
2025-12-07 0.024187 0.057546 0.128589 0.286995 0.625250 1.302966 2.744086
2025-12-14 0.021353 0.052843 0.122327 0.282502 0.635530 1.363831 2.956485
2025-12-21 0.019112 0.049122 0.117628 0.280666 0.651014 1.436613 3.200868
2025-12-28 0.018257 0.048573 0.119946 0.294789 0.702949 1.590788 3.633009
2026-01-04 0.017679 0.048610 0.123609 0.312460 0.764906 1.772787 4.144294
2026-01-11 0.016585 0.047142 0.123470 0.321056 0.806908 1.915314 4.583122
2026-01-18 0.015156 0.044550 0.120198 0.321543 0.829718 2.017022 4.940137
2026-01-25 0.013389 0.040730 0.113273 0.311901 0.826687 2.058880 5.162848
2026-02-01 0.011598 0.036527 0.104735 0.296889 0.808323 2.062505 5.295103
2026-02-08 0.010629 0.034555 0.101881 0.296546 0.827362 2.158031 5.659802